Browsing by Author "Rusakaniko, S."

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • No Thumbnail Available
    Item
    A mathematical model for the prediction of the prevalence of allergies in Zimbabwe
    (World Allergy Organization Journal, 2021-05-21) Mushayi, C.; Nyabadza, F.; Chigidi, E.; Mataramvura, H.; Pfavayi, L.; Rusakaniko, S.; Sibanda, E.N.
    Background The prevalence of allergies has been observed to be increasing in the past years in Zimbabwe. It is thus important to consider the long term prevalence of allergies. Our interest is in investigating the trends of allergies in the next 2 decades. Method We formulate a deterministic model with 6 compartments to predict the prevalence of allergies in Zimbabwe. The human population is divided into 4 distinct epidemiological, classes based on their exposure to 2 allergen groups (food and inhalants), represented by 2 compartments. The model is used to predict the prevalence of allergen sensitization. The number of human allergen groups in each compartment are tracked through a system of differential equations. Model parameters were obtained by fitting observed data to the model. Graphical solutions of the model were developed using Matlab and Excel. Results The rate of sensitisation to food allergen sources is found to be lower than the rate of sensitisation to inhalant allergens. The rate at which individuals develop tolerance to food allergen sources is found to be almost twice the rate of developing tolerance to inhalant allergies. The equilibrium solutions (the long-term states of the populations) of the model are found to be non-zero implying that there will never be an allergy-free population. Our results also show that the prevalence of food allergy is likely to increase in the next 2 decades while inhalant allergy prevalence is expected to decrease. Conclusion Our long-term solutions show endemicity in allergies in Zimbabwe. So, allergy will be endemic in the Zimbabwean population; hence there is a need for allergy care and management facilities to be increased. These results are critical in policy development and planning around allergies in the near future.
  • No Thumbnail Available
    Item
    SARS-CoV-2 Serological testing in frontline health workers in Zimbabwe
    (PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2021-03-31) Rusakaniko, S.; Sibanda, E.N.; Mduluza, T.; Tagwireyi, P.; Dhlamini, Z.; Ndhlovu, C.E.; Chandiwana, P.; Chiwambutsa, S.; Lim, R.M.; Scott, F.; Sibanda, L. M.
    Background In order to protect health workers from SARS-CoV-2, there is need to characterise the different types of patient facing health workers. Our first aim was to determine both the infection status and seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in health workers. Our second aim was to evaluate the occupational and demographic predictors of seropositivity to inform the country’s infection prevention and control (IPC) strategy. Methods and principal findings We invited 713 staff members at 24 out of 35 health facilities in the City of Bulawayo in Zimbabwe. Compliance to testing was defined as the willingness to uptake COVID-19 testing by answering a questionnaire and providing samples for both antibody testing and PCR testing. SARS-COV-2 antibodies were detected using a rapid diagnostic test kit and SAR-COV-2 infection was determined by real-time (RT)-PCR. Of the 713 participants, 635(89%) consented to answering the questionnaire and providing blood sample for antibody testing while 560 (78.5%) agreed to provide nasopharyngeal swabs for the PCR SARS-CoV-2 testing. Of the 635 people (aged 18–73) providing a blood sample 39.1% reported a history of past COVID-19 symptoms while 14.2% reported having current symptoms of COVID-19. The most-prevalent co-morbidity among this group was hypertension (22.0%) followed by asthma (7.0%) and diabetes (6.0%). The SARS-CoV-2 sero-prevalence was 8.9%. Of the 560 participants tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection, 2 participants (0.36%) were positive for SAR-CoV-2 infection by PCR testing. None of the SARS-CoV-2 antibody positive people were positive for SAR-CoV-2 infection by PCR testing. Conclusion and interpretation In addition to clinical staff, several patient-facing health workers were characterised within Zimbabwe’s health system and the seroprevalence data indicated that previous exposure to SAR-CoV-2 had occurred across the full spectrum of patient-facing staff with nurses and nurse aides having the highest seroprevalence. Our results highlight the need for including the various health workers in IPC strategies in health centres to ensure effective biosecurity and biosafety.